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Mapping wildfire hazard, vulnerability, and risk to Canadian communities thumbnail
PEER-REVIEWED ARTICLE / 2024-02

Mapping wildfire hazard, vulnerability, and risk to Canadian communities

This study presents a standardized method for a nationwide wildfire risk assessment, focusing on buildings and populations. Our findings demonstrate the nuanced understanding of wildfire risk when considering the interaction between fire hazard and physical vulnerability. Approximately 32.3% and 6.3% of the land are classified as High and Very high fire risk, respectively. We estimate that 111,519 units (5.8%) of directly exposed buildings are classified as High fire risk, and 10,622 units (0.6%) as Very high fire risk. Moreover, we found that approximately 283,200 people reside in areas at High fire risk, while 30,500 people live in areas classified as Very high fire risk. Indigenous on-reserve communities are particularly vulnerable to wildfire impact. We estimate that 18.9% of people living in Indigenous reserves reside in areas at higher risk of fire, compared to only 2.4% for the non-reserve population. The present study offers critical information for the development of a national wildfire risk management policy and provides new insights that support the implementation of effective measures for wildfire risk reduction.

Authors

  • Sandy Erni
  • Brad Armitage
  • Mike D. Flannigan
  • Brian Eddy
  • Jackie Oliver
  • Marc-André Parisien
  • François-Nicolas Robinne
  • Tom Swystun
  • Stephen W. Taylor
  • Xianli Wang

Organizations

  • Natural Resources Canada

Ecoregions

Pan Canadian

Tags

exposure national study risk assessment framework burn probability fire hazard
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