History and overview of research and development for Ontario’s FireGUARD decision support system for appropriate response

Research and development for a real-time wildfire decision support system was undertaken to support appropriate response decision-making in Ontario, Canada. We describe the context, history, requirements, research and development process, and components of FireGUARD (Fire Growth under Uncertainty for Appropriate Response Decision Support) and show examples of its prototype products. The work was a collaborative effort between researchers, specialists, and fire management experts. FireGUARD prototype outputs include a weather forecast and high-resolution maps of burn probability out to 14 days, fuel type, impact, and risk. Additional uses of include triaging multiple new fires, prioritizing scarce suppression resources, and large fire management. FireGUARD was very useful and remains in demand; its success led to further decision-support initiatives. Supplementary materials including fact sheets and technical summaries are available on this landing page beneath the references.