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Assembling and Customizing Multiple Fire Weather Forecasts for Burn Probability and Other Fire Management Applications in Ontario, Canada
PEER-REVIEWED ARTICLE / 2020-05

Assembling and Customizing Multiple Fire Weather Forecasts for Burn Probability and Other Fire Management Applications in Ontario, Canada

Introduces a method for assembling and displaying long-range wildfire weather forecasts. The method combines multiple forecast sources, represents uncertainty, calculates fire behaviour metrics, and supports risk-based fire management and burn probability modelling.

Authors

  • Den Boychuk (Ontario Ministry of Natural Resources)
  • Jordan Evens (Natural Resources Canada)
  • Dan Johnston (Ontario Ministry of Natural Resources)
  • Dan Leonard (Ontario Ministry of Natural Resources)
  • Colin McFayden (Natural Resources Canada)
  • Darren McLarty (Ontario Ministry of Natural Resources)
  • Jerry Shields (Ontario Ministry of Natural Resources)
  • Aaron Stacey (Ontario Ministry of Natural Resources)
  • Douglas Woolford (University of Western Ontario)
  • Mike Wotton (Natural Resources Canada)

Organizations

  • Natural Resources Canada
  • Ontario Aviation Forest Fire and Emergency Services (AFFES)
  • University of Western Ontario

Ecoregions

Boreal

Tags

bushfire weather forecast analogue forecast ensemble teleconnections
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